Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.003074 0.003363 0.003671 0.004025 0.004420 0.004849 0.005352
2025-12-28 0.002558 0.002960 0.003418 0.003982 0.004661 0.005457 0.006469
2026-01-04 0.002289 0.002750 0.003301 0.004012 0.004915 0.006034 0.007543
2026-01-11 0.002059 0.002548 0.003151 0.003961 0.005034 0.006424 0.008397
2026-01-18 0.001886 0.002391 0.003034 0.003926 0.005151 0.006803 0.009254
2026-01-25 0.001738 0.002250 0.002920 0.003876 0.005231 0.007126 0.010053
2026-02-01 0.001634 0.002157 0.002857 0.003884 0.005385 0.007555 0.011041
2026-02-08 0.001525 0.002048 0.002763 0.003835 0.005446 0.007847 0.011843
2026-02-15 0.001423 0.001940 0.002660 0.003763 0.005461 0.008065 0.012544
2026-02-22 0.001359 0.001881 0.002622 0.003782 0.005614 0.008503 0.013647
2026-03-01 0.001322 0.001857 0.002633 0.003873 0.005883 0.009149 0.015175
2026-03-08 0.001249 0.001777 0.002552 0.003816 0.005906 0.009388 0.016006
2026-03-15 0.001172 0.001688 0.002458 0.003735 0.005895 0.009585 0.016821
2026-03-22 0.001110 0.001619 0.002391 0.003696 0.005953 0.009911 0.017934
2026-03-29 0.001069 0.001580 0.002367 0.003724 0.006125 0.010457 0.019552
2026-04-05 0.001016 0.001517 0.002302 0.003677 0.006161 0.010751 0.020693
2026-04-12 0.000970 0.001464 0.002248 0.003645 0.006218 0.011090 0.021975
2026-04-19 0.000924 0.001410 0.002189 0.003599 0.006245 0.011370 0.023163
2026-04-26 0.000893 0.001376 0.002162 0.003606 0.006372 0.011863 0.024907
2026-05-03 0.000854 0.001327 0.002108 0.003561 0.006394 0.012139 0.026181
2026-05-10 0.000814 0.001276 0.002044 0.003496 0.006368 0.012312 0.027229
2026-05-17 0.000791 0.001251 0.002027 0.003513 0.006511 0.012861 0.029309
2026-05-24 0.000779 0.001246 0.002043 0.003596 0.006796 0.013754 0.032438